“changeup” tag's highlights of related matches, posts & more...
Jake Bennett, LHP, Washington Nationals
https://www.fangraphs.com/players/william-bennett/sa3020737/stats?position=P 91-95, mid-80s changeups.
MLB Tuesday Best Bet From Griffin Warner on RJ Bell’s Dream Preview! #mlbpicks #mlb #astros #tigers
“That’s a clear two aces going against each other with, I think, questionable offenses. So we’ll go Astros, Tigers, under seven in the D.” The Setup The Astros and Tigers meet in Detroit, and while these aren’t two mirror-image teams, they share a theme right now: pitching strength overshadowing offensive consistency. Houston still carries the name recognition with stars like Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, and Alex Bregman, but this year’s lineup hasn’t been that reliable night to night. Detroit, on the other hand, is very much a team built on arms, not bats. Spencer Torkelson hasn’t fully broken out yet, Riley Greene is talented but streaky, and the supporting cast is below average compared to the league’s offensive leaders. So when Griffin calls this “two aces,” he’s leaning heavily on the fact that both rotations line up for a top-end starter clash. In MLB betting, totals of 7 are already on the low side, signaling respect for pitching. When two starters with genuine ace potential go head-to-head, that number can still look generous if you’re expecting a duel. The Pitching Matchup Detroit has been leaning on Tarik Skubal, a lefty who’s emerging as a legit frontline guy. Skubal has posted strikeout rates north of 10 per nine innings, keeps the ball in the park, and has been tough on both righties and lefties with his fastball-slider-changeup mix. Against a Houston lineup that has looked less dangerous versus lefties this season, Skubal’s ability to neutralize Alvarez and force the Astros into chasing sliders out of the zone could be pivotal. On the other side, Houston trots out Framber Valdez, another lefty who thrives on weak contact. When he’s on, Valdez is one of the best groundball pitchers in baseball, inducing double plays and limiting hard contact. His sinker-curveball combo can frustrate younger lineups, and Detroit’s order has struggled to generate rallies when forced to string together singles. The Tigers simply don’t have the power depth to make him pay for pitching to contact. Put those two together, and you’ve got the makings of a pitcher’s duel: strikeouts and groundouts, not crooked numbers on the scoreboard. Offensive Question Marks Griffin Warner pointed to “questionable offenses,” and it’s hard to argue. For Houston, Bregman’s OPS has dipped below his peak years, Kyle Tucker is productive but streaky, and Altuve isn’t the everyday spark he once was. Alvarez remains a monster, but when he doesn’t homer, the lineup often looks ordinary. As for the Tigers, their offensive rankings are near the bottom of the AL – low slugging percentage, below-average batting average with runners in scoring position, and a team OBP that rarely scares pitchers. In other words, these aren’t lineups built to chase elite arms out of games. Why the Under 7 Makes Sense Totals betting is always about math versus context. A line of 7 means oddsmakers are already signaling respect for the pitchers. But Griffin’s take is that even 7 runs might be too high given this setup. A 3–2 or 4–2 type game feels much more realistic than a slugfest. The fact that it’s being played in Detroit – not exactly a home-run-friendly park – adds another layer of confidence. Comerica Park has historically suppressed power, with deep alleys that turn long drives into outs, which favors pitchers and unders. Another subtle angle is bullpen reliability. The Tigers’ pen has been quietly effective in the late innings, and Houston’s relief corps, while not dominant, is serviceable enough behind Valdez. If both starters go six strong, you’re not terrified of the bullpens imploding. The Forum Take What I like about Griffin Warner’s best bet here is how it fits the old-school handicapping approach: Pitching strength on both sides ✔️ Ballpark suppresses offense ✔️ Lineups inconsistent and vulnerable to lefties ✔️ Low number still playable given context ✔️ Sure, betting unders isn’t sexy. Most casuals prefer to root for runs. But as seasoned bettors know, some of the best value lies in totals where the public expects fireworks and the pros expect silence. This game screams “tight duel, wasted scoring chances, and a bunch of stranded runners.” Final Thoughts So, Griffin Warner’s MLB Tuesday Best Bet is locked in: Astros vs. Tigers Under 7 Runs in Detroit. Two aces, two flawed offenses, and a big ballpark that plays into the handicap. If you like low-scoring baseball chess matches, this one is right in your wheelhouse. $25 of Free Picks! https://pregame.com/ No Obligation | No Credit Card Required Becoming a member is Fast and Free #MLBPicks #MLBBestBets #MLBTuesdayBestBet #MLBPredictions #MLBBettingTips #MLBBettingPicks #RJbellDreamPreview #GriffinWarnerPicks #AstrosVsTigers #HoustonAstrosBetting #DetroitTigersBetting #AstrosTigersUnder #MLBTotalsPick #MLBUnder7 #MLBBettingAnalysis #MLBBettingCommunity #SportsBettingForum #BaseballBettingPicks #MLBSportsGambling #SharpMLBPicks
"NL West Showdown, Wraparound" Padres (69-53) vs. Dodgers (69-53) MLB P-B-P w/Ian Genge 8-16-25
Game Story: If you're a fan of the San Diego Padres (hashtag#ForTheFaithful) then this was a very hard game to watch against the Los Angeles Dodgers (hashtag#LetsGoDodgers). Ian Genge joined me for this one, and an Major League Baseball (MLB) wraparound. Here are some words on what took place with the Padres too. https://lnkd.in/eDzZ8q9R hashtag#NLWest hashtag#PlayersWeekend San Diego Padres (69-53) Batting Order Manager: Mike Shildt 1. Fernando Tatis Jr. (RF, R) 118 GP, .266 AVG, 17 HR, 49 RBI, 69 BB, 96 SO, 24 SB (26) 2. Luis Arraez (DH, L) 115 GP, .289 AVG, 6 HR, 45 RBI, 52 R, 25 BB, 14 SO, (28, Us .320) 3. Manny Machado (3B, R) 121 GP, .296 AVG, 20 HR, 72 RBI, 45 BB, 89 SO, 11 SB (33) 4. Xander Bogaerts (SS, R) 119 GP, .268 AVG, 10 HR, 43 RBI, 47 BB, 76 SO, 19 SB (32) 5. Jackson Merrill (CF, L) 88 GP, .263 AVG, 9 HR, 51 RBI, 28 BB, 80 SO (22, .30 off AVG) 6. Ramon Laureano (LF, R) 94 GP, .296 AVG, 17 HR, 56 RBI, 27 BB, 82 SO (31, Defense) 7. Jake Cronenworth (1B, L) 96 GP, .248 AVG, 9 HR, 43 RBI, 47 BB, 76 SO (31) 8. Jose Iglesias (2B, R) 87 GP, .233 AVG, 1 HR, 27 RBI, 23 R, 20 BB, 44 SO (35) 9. Elias Diaz (C, R) 90 GP, .199 AVG, 5 HR, 22 RBI, 27 R, 20 BB, 65 SO (34, Platoon) Bench: Freddy Fermin (C, R) 76 GP, .269 AVG, 4 HR, 17 RBI, 15 BB, 38 SO (30, .355) Ryan O’Hearn (INF, L) 104 GP, .275 AVG, 14 HR, 47 RBI, 48 BB, 70 SO (32, 10 GP, .185) Bryce Johnson (OF, S) 34 GP, .313 AVG, 0 HR, 4 RBI, 4 BB, 15 SO, 3 SB (29) Gavin Sheets (OF, L) 107 GP, .250 AVG, 15 HR, 54 RBI, 40 R, 32 BB, 79 SO (29, Consistent) Bullpen: Left: Wandy Peralta, Yuki Matsui, Adrian Morejon; Right: Jeremiah Estrada, Jason Adam, Mason Miller, Robert Suarez Starter: Dylan Cease (29, R, 5-10, 4.52 ERA, 1.28 WHIP, 129 IP, 116 H, 65 ER, 50 BB, 169 SO) Features: Slider, 4FB, Curve, Sinker, Sweeper, Changeup (97-77 on Changeup, Basically a two-pitch primary in the Slider and 4FB. Slider is in, Fastball is up. Can get rocked. Headlines: Won 7 of the last 8 prior 3-2 loss to LAD on Friday. Bullpen only allowed one run in the last five games. As stated in the LAD section series could decide NL West. This should be fun. But truly with this bullpen, Adam, Suarez, Morejon and Miller... if the starters can stay on track, SD could have a great postseason. Los Angeles Dodgers (69-53) Batting Order Manager: Dave Roberts 1. Shohei Ohtani (DH, L) .284 AVG, 43 HR, 79 RBI, 115 R, 80 BB, 148 SO, 17 SB (31, SB D) 2. Mookie Betts (SS, R) 111 GP, .244 AVG, 12 HR, 55 RBI, 44 BB, 54 SO (32, Career .290) 3. Will Smith (C, R) 94 GP, .312 AVG, 15 HR, 54 RBI, 56 BB, 70 SO (30, Elite Hitting) 4. Freddie Freeman (1B, L) 108 GP, .300 AVG, 14 HR, 66 RBI, 58 R, 45 BB, 103 SO (35) 5. Teoscar Hernandez (RF, R) 98 GP, .256 AVG, 18 HR, 71 RBI, 46 R, 18 BB, 103 SO (32) 6. Andy Pages (CF, R) 117 GP, .278 AVG, 19 HR, 69 RBI, 52 R, 23 BB, 98 SO, 11 SB (24) 7. Michael Conforto (LF, L) 105 GP, .187 AVG, 9 HR, 25 RBI, 41 R, 43 BB, 88 SO (32) 8. Alex Freeland (3B, R) 12 GP, .176 AVG, 0 HR, 2 RBI, 5 R, 7 BB, 13 SO (23, Muncy Out) 9. Miguel Rojas (2B, R) 77 GP, .243 AVG, 6 HR, 14 RBI, 22 R, 16 BB, 30 SO (36, Solid) Bench: Dalton Rushing (C, L) 34 GP, 202 AVG, 2 HR, 15 RBI, 8 BB, 40 SO (24, Time?) Buddy Kennedy (INF, R) 140 AB, .193 AVG, 2 HR, 19 RBI, 15 R, 18 BB, 39 SO (26) Alex Call (OF, R) 81 GP, .263 AVG, 3 HR, 26 RBI, 33 R, 29 BB, 41 SO (30, Defense) Justin Dean (OF, R) 1 Career AB, (28, Defensive Replacement) Bullpen: Left: Justin Wrobleski, Anthony Banda, Alex Vesia; Right: Edgardo Henriquez, Ben Casparius, Jack Dreyer, Blake Treinen, Alexis Diaz Starter: Blake Snell (32, L, 2-1, 2.37 ERA, 1.53 WHIP, 19 IP, 5 ER, 11 BB, 22 SO) Features: 4FB, Changeup, Curve, Slider (95-80 on Curve) Can be inside or down and in/ away on the off-speed stuff. Can absolutely be elite still if he rounds into shape. Headlines: Four-Game Losing Streak Snapped. Muncy, Kim are out. Bullpen is piecemealed. Teams play each other 6 of the next 10 games. It will decide the shape of the NL West through late August. LAD were 3-1 (4-1 w/ 3-2 win on FRI) in the season series in the only meetings from 6-16 to 6-19. Tight, but had run scoring. Stay up to date with me. Facebook: https://bit.ly/3LkrzyY Twitter: https://bit.ly/3DkfuYo YouTube: https://bit.ly/3zkA0qM Instagram: https://bit.ly/3g0fYLb LinkedIn: https://bit.ly/35JWkOB Blog: https://bit.ly/3MhMIve (Written/P-B-P) Discord: https://discord.gg/GV2uJc8dDX Podcast: Hopeless Sports Guy https://spoti.fi/3TIeR1D (Spotify, Apple, Google, iHeartRadio, Amazon etc.) Colorcast/Clubhouse/Fireside: @JohnRyanOtt (Download app on iPhone/Android) calls play-by-play/radio shows live, interact with me anytime.
Is Jonah Tong an ELITE Prospect?! | Jonah Tong talks 99 MPH, New Changeup, and upcoming AAA Debut
LIVE SHOW with Giveaways and MORE: P.C. Richard and Son in Astoria, Queens Monday September 8th Mets top pitching ...
Tarik Skubal's FILTHY 10th Strikeout on a GROSS Changeup! (Tigers Dominance)
witness pure nastiness! tarik skubal of the detroit tigers closes out his 10th strikeout of the night with an absolutely gross changeup ...