My Prediction of the winner was a loser! My reason for why was dead-on. Video analysis... Recently, I made a video with a prediction about the PAC 12 championship game between USC and Oregon. It was completely wrong about the winner and loser. And so I'm going to tell you why I missed it. We're going to look at some film and we're going to talk about what happened in the game to cause the outcome. 2020 has been a horribly strange year. It's just been weird. But with a new offensive line, new quarterback, young defense injuries guys opting out, I just didn't see the same Oregon team that a lot of the media predicted to be the number one team in the north. And so if I was critical of the ducks, it was just for that reason. It's not the team, everybody predicted to win the whole thing. That said they played fantastic in that championship game. More than them playing fantastic though, was USC playing so poorly in that game. I predicted that SC would win 42-21 because there was a trend of turnovers by Oregon. They were minus seven on the season to that point. And there was a trend of takeaways by USC, they were plus seven on the season. That's the biggest stat in football, the more times you possess the ball or take it away from your opponents, the more times you give yourself a chance if you turn the ball over three times in a game, on average, it's around 85% that you're going to lose that game. And so with that trend in place, that's what I made my prediction on. To me sacks and turnover/takeaway ratio aren't stats, they're trends. What does a team do with the football? Do they give it away, or do they take it away? That tells you a lot about a team. Sacks, what kind of defensive pressure can they put on somebody? That's a trend. How many sacks are they getting per game? So those are trends to me more than their stats. And those are the things that I look at as an analyst going into games. So if you didn't understand that, I probably didn't explain it well enough. But a lot of you were saying that I was predicting it based on stats when I said stats don't matter. Overall total offensive numbers don't matter in an individual game. Look at Oregon in this game- 240ish total yards. But they won the turnover battle. So they were plus two in takeaways. And they won the sack battle they got three to USC's two and those were the biggest trends. I was absolutely right that turnovers and sacks predicted and changed this game. I just got the teams wrong based on their trends. I'm going to show you the three biggest plays in the game. The three interceptions from Kedon Slovis. I'm gonna show you why they happened on video. It's always five to eight plays that make a huge difference in any game. And these three the turnovers were the biggest for USC. Yeah, I missed it. I predicted USC 42 Oregon 21. But I also couldn't have predicted that Slovis would have the worst game of his college career. Throwing two interceptions to spot Oregon 14 points and then one interception, to absolutely ice the game for Oregon. But as the saying goes, That's why you play the game. That's why I love college football so much. You never know what you're going to get in the game. The Ducks played great. SC's offense and Kedon Slovis were awful. There have been some flaws in his game this year. I did a video earlier, where I agreed with Joel Klatt about how the air raid progression system makes it tough on a quarterback when defenses disguise, and in this case, it absolutely happened. Slovis look confused all game long. I appreciate you watching. Oregon showed up to play. So congratulations to the Ducks. I hope they represent the PAC 12 well on January 2nd against Iowa State. For the rest of the conference it was not a great year. We we were never really in the discussion for college football playoffs and appropriately so. Based on choices preseason, what was going on the conference. So hopefully the conference can get back, have a great spring ball rebound and become relevant in the national picture again this year. I absolutely love some of your comments. By the way, there was one in particular who said oh yeah, you played for Cal, still losing. I will say this, not to Oregon, not this year, and never as a starting quarterback. I'll talk to you guys again soon. And I'll be bringing you more college football, play design, breaking down offense and talking about the quarterback position.