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Highlights

Another half-unit play: Michigan State to not make the NCAA Tournament at +122. They are 72nd in NET right now with two games against Michigan coming up. Likely need help in the BTT to make it.



Trevion Williams (Purdue) o7.5 rebounds at -113 on FanDuel. - Like Kofi, lower minutes recently, but he should play a lot in a massive game against Wisconsin - Purdue needs a win for B1G seeding purposes - 17-7 at this number on the season (11-5 in conference play)



Austin Reeves (Oklahoma) u21.5 points at -112 on DraftKings. - 5-14 at this number on the season, although his usage has been higher lately - Needed OT to hit exactly 22 against Oklahoma State in last game - Kansas State game singlehandedly dragging up usage moving average



Jermaine Samuels (Villanova) u15.5 points at -112 on DraftKings. - Same logic as when we bet him before: Just not averaging enough shots/minutes as the fourth option. - St. John’s defense is bad, but Samuels simply doesn’t have the volume for 16+ on a regular basis



Miles McBride (West Virginia) u5.5 assists at -120 on FanDuel. - 5-15 at this number on the season, although he has gone over in three of his last five - Texas has one of the best defenses in the country



Isaiah Livers (Michigan) u18 points at -112 on DraftKings. - He has gone over in three straight games, but his usage rate has remained constant throughout the season - Those are his only three games going over in conference play - Rutgers has 14th-best adjusted defense on KenPom



Jacob Young (Rutgers) u13.5 points at -112 on DraftKings. - Since falling out of the starting lineup (six games), he averages just 23.0 minutes and 9.8 field goal attempts per game - Under in four of last six games - Michigan has the eighth-ranked adjusted defense on KenPom



Tahj Eaddy (USC) u15 points at -112 on DraftKings. - Usage has been volatile all season, but he’s at just a 19.8% usage rate in conference play - 9-11 at this line on the season - This is 14.5 juiced to the under on Bovada - Arizona State plays fast, but 16 is a big number



Jermaine Samuels (Villanova) u13.5 points at -112 on DraftKings. Same logic as last time, but we get an extra half-point and a tougher opponent in Creighton. Samuels hit 14 last game on just eight shots, but you can’t expect that efficiency on a regular basis.



Jaden Springer (Tennessee) o8.5 points at -118 on DraftKings. He is 10-4 at this number on the season, and one of the unders was a game he left early due to injury. Kentucky plays solid defense, but I think Springer should still be able to get 9+ points.




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