After a couple days with no Primary or Secondary Major League Baseball selections, AlgaVision had one of each yesterday, with the Chicago White Sox losing as Primary Selection at -176 vs. the Pittsburgh Pirates and the Milwaukee Brewers knocking off the Arizona Diamondbacks as a -144 favorite. Even at 1-1 for the day, AlgaVision's picks have gone a remarkable 28-14 (67%) since May 1. These AlgaLytics videos are intended to provide full transparency for all of AlgaVision's selections, and you can also track all the results or purchase a subscription by going to www.AlgaVision.com. Also don't forget to subscribe to this YouTube channel as we will be here to review all the wins and losses whenever AlgaVision has Primary or Secondary Selections. Over the long term for many years, these top-level AlgaVision picks have won at nearly a 64% rate, with all the results completely documented. Looking at yesterday's results, it was clear to see why the AlgaVision algorithm was all over the White Sox. Chicago had one of its top pitchers on the mound in Lucas Giolito. He did the job, leaving the game essentially with a 3-2 lead after allowing 4 hits and 2 runs while striking out 7 in 6 innings. The White Sox are the superior team offensively, ranking fifth in MLB in batting average and sixth in runs scored. And Chicago has one of the top-ranked bullpens in the league, while the Pirates rank near the bottom in terms of their offensive production and bullpen. No algorithm is going to be able to guess when the first pitcher out of the pen for the White Sox, Garnett Crochet, is going to give up 4 straight hits and 4 runs without recording an out. That was pretty much game over. In the other matchup, we had an undervalued Brewers team at -144 taking on the worst team in baseball in Arizona. Yes, the D'Backs are better at home than on the road, but they still are way under .500 at home. Meanwhile, Milwaukee is in first place in the National League Central Division and is better on the road than at home. And the Brewers had Freddy Perralta at 7-2 with a 2.11 ERA on the mound. Perralta went 6 innings and allowed just 1 hit while striking out 10. Zac Gallen, with respectable numbers coming in, kept Arizona close by allowing 3 hits and 1 run in 5 innings. But then he turned it over to one of the league's worst bullpens and that was all she wrote. Over the final 4 innings, D'Backs pitchers gave up 4 runs on 5 hits while Milwaukee's pen shut the door. Why the lines keep moving toward the D'Backs and why Milwaukee was so undervalued here is hard to understand, but if you just continue to follow AlgaVision's lead you'll do just fine.
Last night any baseball fan could see that the numbers pointed to a likely Oakland Athletics victory against the Texas Rangers as -190 favorites. Not only were the A's a substantial Major League Baseball favorite according to the Las Vegas bookmakers, but they also seemed to have an edge in almost every conceivable category on paper. It didn't take an algorithm for us to see that, but that's why they play the games and why finding a proven product like AlgaVision that has been accurate at nearly a 65% rate documented for many years is so important in a sports gambling industry in which the top pros make a living by winning between 56 and 60% of the time. Last night, AlgaVision had Oakland as a Primary Selection, but unfortunately it was one of the rare times that the algorithm has let us down over the last two months as the Rangers handed the Athletics a 5-4 setback for just AlgaVision's third loss in the last nine selections. Dating to May 1, AlgaVision's Primary and Secondary picks are 30-14 (68%) Primary and Secondary selections are the highest-confidence picks that the AlgaVision algorithm produces and are the only ones that are provided for their paying customers. According to the algorithm, Primary picks have a win probability of 70% or greater, while the Secondaries have a win probability of around 60% or better. Remember that when AlgaVision gives out a pick to its customers, while more times than not the selection will be a strong favorite, AlgaVision doesn't just select any overwhelming favorite. That is a recipe for financial disaster. AlgaVision only gives out the best of the best selections according to its algorithm. These are the selections most likely to win on a given day that have win probabilities of 60% or better or 70% or better and that meet the strict criteria of their algorithm. These AlgaLytics videos are intended to provide full transparency for all of AlgaVision's selections, and you can also track all the results or purchase a subscription by going to www.AlgaVision.com. Also don't forget to subscribe to this YouTube channel as we will be here to review all the wins and losses whenever AlgaVision has Primary or Secondary Selections. Over the long term for many years, these top-level AlgaVision picks have won at nearly a 64% rate, with all the results completely documented and certified for tracking purposes. Oakland appeared to have the edge in almost every offensive, defensive and pitching category heading into last night's matchup. Mike Foltynewicz, the Texas starter, was 1-7 with an ERA over 5.00 and a WHIP above 1.3 while A's hurler James Kaprielian was 4-2, 3.06, 1.10. Texas was 24-40 as an underdog and 10-27 on the road compared to Oakland's 25-18 home mark and 34-18 record as a favorite. The bullpens actually matched up pretty evenly, with both groups ranking among the top half of the league's relief corps. The bullpens performed as expected, with both teams experiencing similar hiccups, including two ninth-inning homers by the A's that eventually allowed them to bring the winning run to the batter's box. But the fact that Foltynewicz outperformed Kaprielian and left the game with his team ahead, 3-2, is what no math-based, data-driven system could have predicted. Foltynewicz went 7 innings, allowing 2 runs on 4 hits while striking out 6. Kaprielian was solid, too, going 6 innings and surrendering 3 runs on 6 hits while fanning 6. That effort by Foltynewicz was just enough to skew the final results and make AlgaVision's Primary Selection a loser. It's games like this one that remind us of why it's important to have a system that only provides it's customers with the highest-probability winners based on an algorithm that takes all human emotion and bias out of the equation. You're never going to win them all, but AlgaVision has proven over many years that their picks are going to win at a rate that allows its customers to be profitable year in and year out.